Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.114683 0.172408 0.239936 0.322392 0.418302 0.524602 0.649708
2026-01-25 0.044128 0.108578 0.200635 0.328338 0.490956 0.683503 0.922067
2026-02-01 0.011500 0.062547 0.155953 0.301917 0.501548 0.749172 1.066374
2026-02-08 0.000339 0.030361 0.115456 0.269103 0.495211 0.788087 1.174348
2026-02-15 NaN 0.015701 0.095061 0.258669 0.513538 0.854040 1.312087
2026-02-22 NaN 0.009045 0.086478 0.264271 0.552639 0.945921 1.481751
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003795 0.074818 0.261227 0.577174 1.017373 1.624873
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000498 0.058917 0.245721 0.580272 1.058281 1.727720
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000243 0.062000 0.269040 0.644217 1.183050 1.939902
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000102 0.065405 0.293069 0.709501 1.310025 2.155480
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.064172 0.306334 0.757390 1.412902 2.339810
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.070256 0.336611 0.833244 1.555309 2.576576
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.072623 0.359834 0.900418 1.689499 2.808022
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.066703 0.362914 0.934870 1.778575 2.981519
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.050297 0.335785 0.916802 1.791813 3.053512
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.033779 0.300760 0.881704 1.778454 3.088442
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.026608 0.289716 0.886936 1.822439 3.199409
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.024633 0.295661 0.922795 1.911526 3.371631
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.020624 0.292428 0.941226 1.974588 3.508444
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.014338 0.275922 0.933438 1.997804 3.590416
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.016900 0.300734 1.005234 2.141239 3.837807
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.019662 0.326240 1.078394 2.286857 4.088414
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.019979 0.340297 1.129624 2.399554 4.294032